Can So You Think Run the Fastest Arc ever on Sunday?

Peintre Celebre holds the record at 2:24.6 set back in 1997, when he smashed the previous best mark by nearly 3.5 seconds, and on a course with a long, uphill backstretch climb to boot.

However, since that remarkable run – winning times have averaged a sparkling 2:29.7 over a variety of turf conditions – yet So You Think(NZ) is no average horse, and Aiden O’Brien is no average trainer.

Add in the fact that most weather forecasts put the grounds at Longchamp as relatively quick this weekend, which should greatly hinder Workforce’s chances at a repeat and play right into the hands of wondrous filly Snow Fairy and Coolmore’s stable star.

As noted before in this space, Mr. O’Brien is keen to condition So You Think along the lines of the work put in by Bart Cummings in his native Australia – where the colt TWICE won Group 1 stake routes within a 2 week window at ages 3 and 4. After two early wins under the Coolmore banner this season, So You Think enjoyed a nice picnic at the Ballydoyle facility – but he then came up quite short at Royal Ascot in the Prince of Wales:
http://thoroedge.wordpress.com/2011/06/16/aiden-obrien-star-trainer-goes-against-trend-to-freshness/

Back to the drawing board at Ballydoyle, where O’Brien began to aggressively condition SYT in the manner for which he had been accustomed to Down Under – and he was in top form for his recent duel with the brave filly out of Ed Dunlop’s stable at Leopardstown. We just may see a repeat of that on Sunday, and off of a relatively stout early pace.

Please keep in mind that winning times in the Arc are 12.7sec faster over the past 80 years, while American classics are only 2.7sec quicker over the same time frame:
http://thoroedge.wordpress.com/2010/12/14/more-speedwork-plus-less-drugs-equals-faster-horses/

What the hell are they doing down in Australia to give the world great stayers like So You Think as well as champion sprinters along the lines of Black Caviar and Hay List?

I detailed that in a post just yesterday at http://thoroedge.wordpress.com/2011/09/29/pedigree-is-merely-potential-on-paper-lactic-acid-dictates-class-on-the-racetrack/

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About bpressey

Equine Exercise Physiologist

Posted on September 30, 2011, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.

  1. AHHH! Half right: stakes record indeed, but wrong horse as the winner.

    German filly wins by 4 lengths over SYT and two other fillies while knocking 0.2sec off the previous record time.

  1. Pingback: 2011 BC Classic Selections: So You Think(NZ) and Flat Out Much the Best | ThoroEdge Equine Performance

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